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- Article name
- Calculated confirmation of unattainability of the Paris Agreement
- Authors
- TETELMIN V. V., , v-tetelmin@rambler.ru, Institute of Ecology of the Russian Peoples' Friendship University named after Patrice Lumumba; Public Council at the Ministry of Energy of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia
- Keywords
- Paris Agreement / greenhouse gases / fossil fuel / global warming / carbon neutrality / decarbonization
- Year
- 2024 Issue 2 Pages 58 - 63
- Code EDN
- EJYNWU
- Code DOI
- 10.52190/2073-2589_2024_2_58
- Abstract
- Graphs of changes in the main indicators of global warming are presented, consistent growth of which indicates the anthropogenic origin of climate change. It is shown that the goal of rapid reduction in CO2 emissions by 2050 through reducing the use of coal and oil, outlined by the Paris Agreement, cannot be realized due to impossibility of ensuring the balance between the lost production of "fuel energy" and commissioning of replacement RES and NPP capacities. Calculated graphs of the long duration of reaching the global warming temperature limit are given for three hypothetical scenarios for achieving carbon neutrality.
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