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- Article name
- Analytical calculation of global warming
- Authors
- TETELMIN V. V., , v-tetelmin@rambler.ru, Institute of Ecology of the Russian Peoples' Friendship University named after Patrice Lumumba; Public Council at the Ministry of Energy of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia
- Keywords
- global warming / greenhouse gases / radiation balance / thermal energy
- Year
- 2022 Issue 3 Pages 34 - 41
- Code EDN
- SENMCE
- Code DOI
- 10.52190/2073-2589_2022_3_34
- Abstract
- The author have carried out a quantitative analysis of anthropogenic greenhouse gases accumulated by the atmosphere and climate system of Earth. The obtained dependences recommended for use to determine the maximum temperature of global warming and the time when the Earth's climate system reaches the state of radiation balance, i.e., the content of anthropogenic greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. The content of anthropogenic greenhouse gases is 880 ppm in the atmosphere, which can result in the "greenhouse saturation" of the Earth's climate system. The author propose an analytical calculation algorithm of the dynamics and limits of global warming under various scenarios of global greenhouse gas emissions. The performed some forecast calculations of the dynamics of global warming for two probable scenarios of changes in the content of anthropogenic greenhouse gases after 2020.
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