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- Article name
- Energy patterns and limits of global warming
- Authors
- TETELMIN V. V., , v-tetelmin@rambler.ru, Institute of Ecology of the Russian Peoples' Friendship University named after Patrice Lumumba; Public Council at the Ministry of Energy of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia
- Keywords
- global warming / climate system / greenhouse gases / thermal energy / radiation equilibrium temperature
- Year
- 2023 Issue 1 Pages 51 - 59
- Code EDN
- NZZOAA
- Code DOI
- 10.52190/2073-2589_2023_1_51
- Abstract
- The summary table of global warming energy patterns calculated using accumulated natural data accumulated by the world science is presented. The analysis shows that in each successive decade the contribution of positive feedbacks to global warming increases by about 9 % relative to the preceding decade. Each kilowatt hour of energy produced and used by humanity warms our planet through the anthropogenic greenhouse effect by 17 kW h. We propose the functions of dependence of greenhouse energy absorption capacity as well as the amount of accumulated heat energy in the climatic system on the mass of anthropogenic greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Based on the assumption of a quasi-stationary state of the Earth's climatic system during the last phase of the ice age, we propose the functions of dependence of the radiation equilibrium temperature on the concentration in the atmosphere of the mixture of the three main greenhouse gases, as well as on the concentration of carbon dioxide. The values of the volume concentration of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions of 850 ppm and the global warming limit temperature of 8.9 оC, at which the atmosphere reaches "greenhouse saturation" and the climate system no longer responds to further warming, are obtained.
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